Fnews Pablo M. Rodríguez - Home Page
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    Pablo M. Rodriguez

    Professor Doutor ICMC-USP

Academic Background and Positions Held

  • 2018-now: Editorial Comm. of the Revista de Ciencias, Univ. del Valle, Colombia.
  • 2018-now: Directory of the Brazilian Society of Computational and Applied Math.
  • 2017-now: Vice-Coordinator of the Joint Grad. Program in Statistics UFSCar/USP.
  • 2017-now: CNPq Research Fellow - Level 2 - Mathematics and Statistics.
  • 2015-2016: Sabbatical Period, LPMA - Université Paris Diderot.
  • 2012-now: Assistant Professor, ICMC - USP.
  • 2010-2011: Postdoctoral Period, IMECC - UNICAMP.
  • 2010: Ph.D. Degree in Statistics, IME - USP.
  • 2007: Master Degree in Statistics, IME - USP.
  • 2004: Bachelor's Degree in Mathematics, Universidad Nacional de la Patagonia.

Research Interests

  • Probability Theory
  • Applied Probability
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Interacting Particle Systems
  • Stochastic Modeling of Complex Systems
  • Percolation and Random Graphs
  • Branching Processes
  • Stochastic Epidemic and Rumor Models
  • Evolution Algebras
  • Probabilistic Cellular Automata

Latest News: forthcoming meetings, new projects, others

❝Les questions les plus importantes de la vie ne sont en effet, pour la plupart, que des problèmes de probabilité.❞
(❝The most important questions of life are indeed, for the most part, really only problems of probability.❞)
Pierre-Simon Laplace. Théorie Analytique des Probabilités, 1812.

About my Work

You can get my CV here (last update: Jan 2019).

Alternatively, you can see my CV Lattes from CNPq (in portuguese)

I am a probabilist working with probabilistic models on graphs and other topics in discrete mathematics. My current research activity is on epidemic-like processes, focusing on questions about the asymptotic behavior of such processes. I am interested in using interacting particle systems, percolation models and special stochastic processes on graphs to describe the spread of an information and other similar phenomena on a population. Also, I am interested in studying (asymptotical) properties of random objects inspired by biological questions, and related subjects of discrete mathematics.

Inhomogeneous random graph introduced in a joint work with A. Pachon and M. Kang, J Stat Phys (2018).

My work includes, but is not limited to, the study of the following subjects:

  • Maki-Thompson model for rumor spreading;
  • Bass model for innovation diffusion;
  • Frog model of interacting random walks;
  • Accessibility percolation model on trees;
  • Branching processes with selection;
  • Evolution algebras associated to graphs.

See below some numbers and profiles related to my projects.

WoS 86 citations
Scopus 102 citations
Google Scholar 175 citations


          ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0003-0016-2360

Mathematical Curiosities

My Erdös number: 3 (P. Rodríguez M. Kang M. Loebl P. Erdös)

Mathematics Genealogy: Rodriguez, Machado, Ferrari, Andjel, Liggett, Karlin, Bochner, Schmidt, Hilbert, Lindemann, Klein, Plücker, Gerling, Gauss, ...

... and about the visits of this page see below:



    2017 - now

  1. On the connection between evolution algebras, random walks, and graphs
    Paula Cadavid, Mary Luz Rodiño Montoya, Pablo M. Rodriguez
    Journal of Algebra and Its Applications (2020): 2050023.
  2. Characterization theorems for the space of derivations of evolution algebras associated to graphs
    Paula Cadavid, Mary Luz Rodiño Montoya, Pablo M. Rodriguez
    Linear & Multilinear Algebra. Published online (2018): 1-15.
  3. Frog models on trees through renewal theory
    Sandro Gallo, Pablo M. Rodriguez
    Journal of Applied Probability 55 n. 3 (2018): 887-899.
  4. Comment on "Nodal infection in Markovian susceptible-infected-susceptible and susceptible-infected-removed epidemics on networks are non-negatively correlated"
    Pablo M. Rodriguez, Alejandro Roldan, Alex Valencia
    Physical Review E 98 (2018): 026301
  5. A General Markov Chain Approach for Disease and Rumor Spreading in Complex Networks
    Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues Pablo Martin Rodriguez Emanuele Cozzo Yamir Moreno
    Journal of Complex Networks 6 n. 2 (2018): 215-242
  6. Evolution of a modified binomial random graph by agglomeration
    Mihyun Kang, Angelica Pachon, Pablo M. Rodriguez
    Journal of Statistical Physics 170 n. 3 (2018): 509-535
  7. On the existence of accessibility in a tree-indexed percolation model
    Cristian F. Coletti, Renato J. Gava, Pablo M. Rodriguez.
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 492 (2018): 382-388
  8. Phase transition for the Maki-Thompson rumor model on a small-world network
    Elena Agliari, Angelica Pachon, Pablo M. Rodriguez, Flavia Tavani
    Journal of Statistical Physics 169 n.4 (2017): 846-875
  9. before 2017

  10. A stochastic two-stage innovation diffusion model on a lattice
    Cristian F. Coletti, Karina B. E. de Oliveira, and Pablo M. Rodriguez
    Journal of Applied Probability 53 n.4 (2016): 1019-1030
  11. A process of rumour scotching on finite populations
    Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda, Elcio Lebensztayn, Francisco A. Rodrigues, Pablo Martin Rodriguez
    Royal Society Open Science 2 (2015): 150240
  12. The role of centrality for the identification of influential spreaders in complex networks
    Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda, André Luiz Barbieri, Pablo Martin Rodriguez, Francisco A. Rodrigues, Yamir Moreno, and Luciano da Fontoura Costa
    Physical Review E 90 (2014): 032812
  13. Rumor processes on N and discrete renewal processes
    Sandro Gallo, Nancy L. Garcia, Valdivino Vargas Junior, Pablo M. Rodriguez
    Journal of Statistical Physics 155 n.3 (2014): 591-602
  14. A connection between a system of random walks and rumor transmission
    E. Lebensztayn, P. M. Rodriguez
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 392 n.23 (2013): 5793-5800
  15. A spatial stochastic model for rumor transmission
    Cristian F. Coletti, Pablo M. Rodriguez, Rinaldo B. Schinazi
    Journal of Statistical Physics 147 n.2 (2012): 375-381
  16. Limit theorems for a general stochastic rumour model
    E. Lebensztayn, F. P. Machado, and P. M. Rodriguez
    SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 71 n.4 (2011): 1476-1486
  17. On the behaviour of a rumour process with random stifling
    E. Lebensztayn, F. P. Machado, P. M. Rodriguez
    Environmental Modelling and Software 26 n.4 (2011): 517-522
  18. The disk-percolation model on graphs
    E. Lebensztayn, P. M. Rodriguez
    Statistics and Probability Letters 78 n.14 (2008): 2130-2136
Please contact me if you can not get free access to any of these publications.

Other publications


  1. On the isomorphisms between evolution algebras of random walks and graphs
    Paula Cadavid, Mary Luz Rodiño Montoya, Pablo M. Rodriguez
  2. Galton-Watson processes in varying environment and accessibility percolation
    Daniela Bertacchi, Pablo M. Rodriguez, Fabio Zucca

  3. Lecture Notes

  4. Modelos probabilisticos discretos y aplicaciones (in spanish).
    Lecture notes of a minicourse given at EMALCA Colombia, Medellín, 2017. I also did a version of this course at VI MACI Argentina, Comodoro Rivadavia, 2017.

Collaborators & Students

Main Co-authors

From Brazil

From Foreign Institutions

Current Students

Ph.D. students

  • Nelson Villagra (DCI - since Mar/2018)[UNPSJB]
  • Caio Moura (PIPGEs - since Nov/2017)[CAPES]
  • Adalto Speroto (PIPGEs - since Mar/2017)[CAPES]
  • Karina Oliveira (PIPGEs - since Mar/2015)[FAPESP]
  • Carlos Hirth (PIPGEs - since Mar/2015)[CAPES]

Master student

  • Ricardo Caldas (PIPGEs - since Mar/2017)

Undergraduate students

  • Matheus Souza (Statistics - since Sep/18)[CNPq]

CCMC: Graduate Program in Computer Science and Computational Mathematics. PIPGEs: Joint Graduate Program in Statistics UFSCar/USP. DCI: Ph.D. Program in Engineering Sciences at the UNPSJB - Argentina. PROFMAT: Professionalizing Master's Program in Mathematics ICMC-USP/SBM.

Posdoc and Former Students

Posdoc researcher

  • Carolina Grejo (PIPGEs - Oct/2017 to Jan/2019)[CAPES]


  • Dimas Rocha (PROFMAT - Fev/2018)[CAPES]
  • Elizbeth Bedia (PIPGEs - Mar/2016)[CAPES]
  • Eduardo Sartoretto (CCMC - Mar/2016)[CNPq]
  • Cristel Vera Tapia (PIPGEs - Mar/2015)[CAPES]
  • Karina E. de Oliveira (CCMC - Jan/2015)[FAPESP]

Main Undergraduate Projects

  • Luna Wagner (Statistics, USP - Out/2018)[FAPESP]
  • Matheus Souza (Statistics, USP - Ago/2018)[CNPq]
  • André Pousa (Statistics, USP - Ago/2018)[CNPq]
  • Caio Moura (Statistics, USP - Jul/2017)[FAPESP]
  • Emanuel Rodriguez (Informatics, UNPSJB - Sep/2016)

❝... a mathematician is a machine for converting coffee into theorems❞ (Alfréd Rényi).
(Paul Turán developed the idea further by describing weak coffee as fit only for lemmas.)


Below is a list of courses that I have lectured at USP since 2012 to 2018. These courses have been lectured in Portuguese!


Bacharelado em Estatística:
  • SME0800 - Probabilidade I
  • SME0801 - Probabilidade II
  • SME0805 - Processos Estocásticos
  • SME0872 - Demografia
Bacharelado em Ciências da Computação:
  • SME0120 - Introdução à teoria de probabilidade
  • SME0121 - Processos Estocásticos


Pós-graduação em Estatística - PIPGEs USP/UFSCar:
  • EST5101 - Teoria das Probabilidades
  • EST5525 - Processos Estocásticos
  • EST5531 - Modelos Probabilísticos
  • EST5805 - Tópicos Avançados de Pesquisa II
  • EST5801 - Probabilidade Avançada

Recently, I have lectured as an invited professor the mini-course (in Spanish): Modelos probabilísticos discretos y aplicaciones, 2017. Mini-course held at VI MACI, UNPSJB, Comodoro Rivadavia (Argentina), and at EMALCA, UdeA, Medellín (Colombia).


See below a selected list of scientific meetings that I have organized during the last years, together with those that I am organizing right now!

meetings img


Sep 16-20, 2019
UFU, Uberlândia, MG

meetings img

7th WPSM

Feb 13-15, 2019
ICMC/USP, São Carlos, SP

meetings img

ELAM 2018

Aug 27 - Sep 06, 2018
CMCC/UFABC, Santo André, SP

meetings img

6th WPSM

Feb 5-7, 2018
UFSCar, São Carlos, SP

meetings img

4th WSM

Nov 5-7, 2014
ICMC/USP, São Carlos, SP

meetings img

2nd WPSM

Fev 5-7, 2014
UFSCar, São Carlos, SP

meetings img


Jan 28-30, 2013
ICMC/USP, São Carlos, SP

meetings img

3rd WSM

Aug 29-31, 2012

meetings img


Aug 6-11, 2012
Recife, PE


Departamento de Matemática e Estatística
Instituto de Ciências Matemáticas e de Computação
Universidade de São Paulo


SME-ICMC-USP, Av. Trabalhador são-carlense 400, Centro. CEP 13560-970 • São Carlos, SP, Brazil
+55 (16) 3373-9754 pablor@icmc.usp.br